Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.619888 1.999489 2.486972 3.176052 4.154929 5.546403 7.777807
2025-01-26 1.199874 1.654030 2.341447 3.532479 5.733603 10.139776 21.635296
2025-02-02 0.963338 1.424421 2.202649 3.765239 7.342118 17.275328 64.902441
2025-02-09 0.789877 1.222382 2.007616 3.759112 8.498449 26.214224 209.655003
2025-02-16 0.660133 1.054188 1.807310 3.622462 9.229217 36.662025 867.268135
2025-02-23 0.585491 0.964585 1.727683 3.722781 10.873398 60.537027 48754.560144
2025-03-02 0.533772 0.905299 1.690892 3.916607 13.258895 114.960014 NaN
2025-03-09 0.481966 0.834870 1.608675 3.939723 15.073845 205.991152 NaN
2025-03-16 0.429283 0.753373 1.480298 3.757848 15.626578 310.463583 NaN
2025-03-23 0.403119 0.722642 1.466572 3.957269 19.125877 920.725018 NaN
2025-03-30 0.374384 0.681645 1.417083 4.007070 21.918068 3166.290367 NaN
2025-04-06 0.343990 0.632677 1.336308 3.899680 23.289405 11656.698216 NaN
2025-04-13 0.317745 0.590537 1.268077 3.826341 25.191982 243408.640553 NaN
2025-04-20 0.308256 0.585292 1.300779 4.216297 34.793409 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.295974 0.571681 1.306653 4.499429 45.890148 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.278053 0.542196 1.258949 4.489058 52.267146 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.258659 0.506954 1.187176 4.314769 54.209317 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.247323 0.490259 1.170185 4.442240 67.080415 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.239020 0.480095 1.171986 4.689553 90.458720 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.227747 0.461115 1.141223 4.719123 107.635599 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.213493 0.433143 1.075799 4.486882 107.132131 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.207570 0.426152 1.080550 4.741581 151.545401 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.199412 0.412464 1.059642 4.805375 189.527780 NaN NaN